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Haematologica 2018 Volume 103(12):2040-2048
Ferrata Storti Foundation
Acute Myeloid Leukemia
Physician uncertainty aversion impacts medical decision making for older patients with acute myeloid leukemia: results
of a national survey
Pierre Bories,1,2 Sébastien Lamy,3,4 Célestine Simand,5 Sarah Bertoli,2
Cyrille Delpierre,3 Sandra Malak,6 Luc Fornecker,5 Stéphane Moreau,7 Christian Récher2 and Antoine Nebout8
1Regional Cancer Network Onco-Occitanie, Toulouse University Institute of Cancer- Oncopole; 2Department of Hematology, Toulouse University Institute of Cancer- Oncopole; 3INSERM Unit 1027, Faculty of Medicine, Toulouse; 4Department of Clinical Pharmacology, Toulouse University Hospital; 5Department of Hematology, Strasbourg University Hospital; 6Department of Hematology, Rene Huguenin Hospital, Curie Institute, Saint-Cloud; 7Department of Hematology, Limoges University Hospital and 8INRA, UR 1303 ALISS, Ivry-sur-Seine, France
ABSTRACT
Elderly patients with acute myeloid leukemia can be treated with intensive chemotherapy, low-intensity therapy such as low-dose aracytine or hypomethylating agents, or best supportive care. The choice between these treatments is a function of many patient-related and disease-related factors. We investigated how physicians’ behavioral characteristics affect medical decision-making between intensive and non-intensive therapy in this setting. A nationwide cross-sectional online survey of hematologists collected data on medical decision-mak- ing for 6 clinical vignettes involving older acute myeloid leukemia patients that were representative of routine practice. Questionnaires elicited physicians’ demographic and occupational characteristics along with their individual behavioral characteristics according to a decision theory framework. From the pattern of responses to the vignettes, a K- means clustering algorithm was used to distinguish those who were like- ly to prescribe more intensive therapy and those who were likely to pre- scribe less intensive or no therapy. Multivariate analyses were used to identify physician’s characteristics predictive of medical decision-mak- ing. We obtained 230 assessable answers, which represented an adjusted response rate of 45.4%. A multivariate model (n=210) revealed that physicians averse to uncertainty recommend significantly more inten- sive chemotherapy: Odds Ratio (OR) [95% Confidence Interval (CI)]: 1.15 [1.01;1.30]; P=0.039. Male physicians who do not conform to the expected utility model (assumed as economically irrational) recommend more intensive chemotherapy [OR (95% CI) = 3.45 (1.34; 8.85); P=0.01]. Patient volume per physician also correlated with therapy intensity [OR (95% CI)=0.98 (0.96; 0.99); P=0.032]. The physicians’ medical decision- making was not affected by their age, years of experience, or hospital facility. The significant association between medical decision and indi- vidual behavioral characteristics of the physician identifies a novel non- biological factor that may affect acute myeloid leukemia patients’ out- comes and explain variations in clinical practice. It should also encourage the use of validated predictive models and the description of novel bio- markers to best select patients for intensive chemotherapy or low-inten- sity therapy.
Correspondence:
pierre.bories@onco-occitanie.fr
Received: March 2, 2018. Accepted: July 12, 2018. Pre-published: July 13, 2018.
doi:10.3324/haematol.2018.192468
Check the online version for the most updated information on this article, online supplements, and information on authorship & disclosures: www.haematologica.org/content/103/12/2040
©2018 Ferrata Storti Foundation
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